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Chapter Contents
Chapter Introduction
NAG Toolbox

NAG Toolbox: nag_correg_robustm_user (g02hd)

 Contents

    1  Purpose
    2  Syntax
    7  Accuracy
    9  Example

Purpose

nag_correg_robustm_user (g02hd) performs bounded influence regression (M-estimates) using an iterative weighted least squares algorithm.

Syntax

[x, y, wgt, theta, k, sigma, rs, nit, ifail] = g02hd(chi, psi, psip0, beta, indw, isigma, x, y, wgt, theta, sigma, 'n', n, 'm', m, 'tol', tol, 'eps', eps, 'maxit', maxit, 'nitmon', nitmon)
[x, y, wgt, theta, k, sigma, rs, nit, ifail] = nag_correg_robustm_user(chi, psi, psip0, beta, indw, isigma, x, y, wgt, theta, sigma, 'n', n, 'm', m, 'tol', tol, 'eps', eps, 'maxit', maxit, 'nitmon', nitmon)
Note: the interface to this routine has changed since earlier releases of the toolbox:
At Mark 23: nitmon, tol, maxit and eps were made optional

Description

For the linear regression model
y=Xθ+ε,  
where y is a vector of length n of the dependent variable,
X is a n by m matrix of independent variables of column rank k,
θ is a vector of length m of unknown arguments,
and ε is a vector of length n of unknown errors with var εi=σ2,
nag_correg_robustm_user (g02hd) calculates the M-estimates given by the solution, θ^, to the equation
i=1nψri/σwiwixij=0,  j=1,2,,m, (1)
where ri is the ith residual, i.e., the ith element of the vector r=y-Xθ^,
ψ is a suitable weight function,
wi are suitable weights such as those that can be calculated by using output from nag_correg_robustm_wts (g02hb),
and σ may be estimated at each iteration by the median absolute deviation of the residuals σ^=mediri/β1
or as the solution to
i=1nχri/σ^wiwi2=n-kβ2  
for a suitable weight function χ, where β1 and β2 are constants, chosen so that the estimator of σ is asymptotically unbiased if the errors, εi, have a Normal distribution. Alternatively σ may be held at a constant value.
The above describes the Schweppe type regression. If the wi are assumed to equal 1 for all i, then Huber type regression is obtained. A third type, due to Mallows, replaces (1) by
i=1nψri/σwixij=0,  j=1,2,,m.  
This may be obtained by use of the transformations
wi* wi yi* yiwi xij* xijwi,   j= 1,2,,m  
(see Marazzi (1987)).
The calculation of the estimates of θ can be formulated as an iterative weighted least squares problem with a diagonal weight matrix G given by
Gii= ψri/σwi ri/σwi , ri0 ψ0, ri=0. .  
The value of θ at each iteration is given by the weighted least squares regression of y on X. This is carried out by first transforming the y and X by
y~i =yiGii x~ij =xijGii,  j=1,2,,m  
and then using nag_linsys_real_gen_solve (f04jg) . If X is of full column rank then an orthogonal-triangular (QR) decomposition is used; if not, a singular value decomposition is used.
Observations with zero or negative weights are not included in the solution.
Note:  there is no explicit provision in the function for a constant term in the regression model. However, the addition of a dummy variable whose value is 1.0 for all observations will produce a value of θ^ corresponding to the usual constant term.
nag_correg_robustm_user (g02hd) is based on routines in ROBETH, see Marazzi (1987).

References

Hampel F R, Ronchetti E M, Rousseeuw P J and Stahel W A (1986) Robust Statistics. The Approach Based on Influence Functions Wiley
Huber P J (1981) Robust Statistics Wiley
Marazzi A (1987) Subroutines for robust and bounded influence regression in ROBETH Cah. Rech. Doc. IUMSP, No. 3 ROB 2 Institut Universitaire de Médecine Sociale et Préventive, Lausanne

Parameters

Compulsory Input Parameters

1:     chi – function handle or string containing name of m-file
If isigma>0, chi must return the value of the weight function χ for a given value of its argument. The value of χ must be non-negative.
[result] = chi(t)

Input Parameters

1:     t – double scalar
The argument for which chi must be evaluated.

Output Parameters

1:     result – double scalar
The value of the weight function χ evaluated at t.
If isigma0, the actual argument chi may be the string nag_correg_robustm_user_dummy_chi (g02hdz). (nag_correg_robustm_user_dummy_chi (g02hdz) is included in the NAG Toolbox.)
2:     psi – function handle or string containing name of m-file
psi must return the value of the weight function ψ for a given value of its argument.
[result] = psi(t)

Input Parameters

1:     t – double scalar
The argument for which psi must be evaluated.

Output Parameters

1:     result – double scalar
The value of the weight function ψ evaluated at t.
3:     psip0 – double scalar
The value of ψ0.
4:     beta – double scalar
If isigma<0, beta must specify the value of β1.
For Huber and Schweppe type regressions, β1 is the 75th percentile of the standard Normal distribution (see nag_stat_inv_cdf_normal (g01fa)). For Mallows type regression β1 is the solution to
1ni=1nΦβ1/wi=0.75,  
where Φ is the standard Normal cumulative distribution function (see nag_specfun_cdf_normal (s15ab)).
If isigma>0, beta must specify the value of β2.
β2= -χzϕzdz, in the Huber case; β2= 1ni=1nwi-χzϕzdz, in the Mallows case; β2= 1ni=1nwi2-χz/wiϕzdz, in the Schweppe case;  
where ϕ is the standard normal density, i.e., 12πexp-12x2 .
If isigma=0, beta is not referenced.
Constraint: if isigma0, beta>0.0.
5:     indw int64int32nag_int scalar
Determines the type of regression to be performed.
indw=0
Huber type regression.
indw<0
Mallows type regression.
indw>0
Schweppe type regression.
6:     isigma int64int32nag_int scalar
Determines how σ is to be estimated.
isigma=0
σ is held constant at its initial value.
isigma<0
σ is estimated by median absolute deviation of residuals.
isigma>0
σ is estimated using the χ function.
7:     xldxm – double array
ldx, the first dimension of the array, must satisfy the constraint ldxn.
The values of the X matrix, i.e., the independent variables. xij must contain the ijth element of x, for i=1,2,,n and j=1,2,,m.
If indw<0, during calculations the elements of x will be transformed as described in Description. Before exit the inverse transformation will be applied. As a result there may be slight differences between the input x and the output x.
8:     yn – double array
The data values of the dependent variable.
yi must contain the value of y for the ith observation, for i=1,2,,n.
If indw<0, during calculations the elements of y will be transformed as described in Description. Before exit the inverse transformation will be applied. As a result there may be slight differences between the input y and the output y.
9:     wgtn – double array
The weight for the ith observation, for i=1,2,,n.
If indw<0, during calculations elements of wgt will be transformed as described in Description. Before exit the inverse transformation will be applied. As a result there may be slight differences between the input wgt and the output wgt.
If wgti0, the ith observation is not included in the analysis.
If indw=0, wgt is not referenced.
10:   thetam – double array
Starting values of the argument vector θ. These may be obtained from least squares regression. Alternatively if isigma<0 and sigma=1 or if isigma>0 and sigma approximately equals the standard deviation of the dependent variable, y, then thetai=0.0, for i=1,2,,m may provide reasonable starting values.
11:   sigma – double scalar
A starting value for the estimation of σ. sigma should be approximately the standard deviation of the residuals from the model evaluated at the value of θ given by theta on entry.
Constraint: sigma>0.0.

Optional Input Parameters

1:     n int64int32nag_int scalar
Default: the dimension of the arrays y, wgt and the first dimension of the array x. (An error is raised if these dimensions are not equal.)
n, the number of observations.
Constraint: n>1.
2:     m int64int32nag_int scalar
Default: the dimension of the array theta and the second dimension of the array x. (An error is raised if these dimensions are not equal.)
m, the number of independent variables.
Constraint: 1m<n.
3:     tol – double scalar
Default: 5e-5
The relative precision for the final estimates. Convergence is assumed when both the relative change in the value of sigma and the relative change in the value of each element of theta are less than tol.
It is advisable for tol to be greater than 100×machine precision.
Constraint: tol>0.0.
4:     eps – double scalar
Default: 5e-6
A relative tolerance to be used to determine the rank of X. See nag_linsys_real_gen_solve (f04jg) for further details.
If eps<machine precision or eps>1.0 then machine precision will be used in place of tol.
A reasonable value for eps is 5.0×10-6 where this value is possible.
5:     maxit int64int32nag_int scalar
Default: 50
The maximum number of iterations that should be used during the estimation.
A value of maxit=50 should be adequate for most uses.
Constraint: maxit>0.
6:     nitmon int64int32nag_int scalar
Default: 0
Determines the amount of information that is printed on each iteration.
nitmon0
No information is printed.
nitmon>0
On the first and every nitmon iterations the values of sigma, theta and the change in theta during the iteration are printed.
When printing occurs the output is directed to the current advisory message unit (see nag_file_set_unit_advisory (x04ab)).

Output Parameters

1:     xldxm – double array
Unchanged, except as described above.
2:     yn – double array
Unchanged, except as described above.
3:     wgtn – double array
Unchanged, except as described above.
4:     thetam – double array
The M-estimate of θi, for i=1,2,,m.
5:     k int64int32nag_int scalar
The column rank of the matrix X.
6:     sigma – double scalar
The final estimate of σ if isigma0 or the value assigned on entry if isigma=0.
7:     rsn – double array
The residuals from the model evaluated at final value of theta, i.e., rs contains the vector y-Xθ^.
8:     nit int64int32nag_int scalar
The number of iterations that were used during the estimation.
9:     ifail int64int32nag_int scalar
ifail=0 unless the function detects an error (see Error Indicators and Warnings).

Error Indicators and Warnings

Note: nag_correg_robustm_user (g02hd) may return useful information for one or more of the following detected errors or warnings.
Errors or warnings detected by the function:

Cases prefixed with W are classified as warnings and do not generate an error of type NAG:error_n. See nag_issue_warnings.

   ifail=1
On entry,n1,
orm<1,
ornm,
orldx<n.
   ifail=2
On entry,beta0.0, and isigma0,
orsigma0.0.
   ifail=3
On entry,tol0.0,
ormaxit0.
   ifail=4
A value returned by the chi function is negative.
   ifail=5
During iterations a value of sigma0.0 was encountered.
   ifail=6
A failure occurred in nag_linsys_real_gen_solve (f04jg) . This is an extremely unlikely error. If it occurs, please contact NAG.
W  ifail=7
The weighted least squares equations are not of full rank. This may be due to the X matrix not being of full rank, in which case the results will be valid. It may also occur if some of the Gii values become very small or zero, see Further Comments. The rank of the equations is given by k. If the matrix just fails the test for nonsingularity then the result ifail=7 and k=m is possible (see nag_linsys_real_gen_solve (f04jg)).
   ifail=8
The function has failed to converge in maxit iterations.
   ifail=9
Having removed cases with zero weight, the value of n-k0, i.e., no degree of freedom for error. This error will only occur if isigma>0.
   ifail=-99
An unexpected error has been triggered by this routine. Please contact NAG.
   ifail=-399
Your licence key may have expired or may not have been installed correctly.
   ifail=-999
Dynamic memory allocation failed.

Accuracy

The accuracy of the results is controlled by tol. For the accuracy of the weighted least squares see nag_linsys_real_gen_solve (f04jg).

Further Comments

In cases when isigma0 it is important for the value of sigma to be of a reasonable magnitude. Too small a value may cause too many of the winsorized residuals, i.e., ψri/σ, to be zero, which will lead to convergence problems and may trigger the ifail=7 error.
By suitable choice of the functions chi and psi this function may be used for other applications of iterative weighted least squares.
For the variance-covariance matrix of θ see nag_correg_robustm_user_varmat (g02hf).

Example

Having input X, Y and the weights, a Schweppe type regression is performed using Huber's ψ function. The function BETCAL calculates the appropriate value of β2.
function g02hd_example


fprintf('g02hd example results\n\n');

global dchi
dchi = 1.5;

x = [1, -1, -1;
     1, -1,  1;
     1,  1, -1;
     1,  1,  1;
     1,  0,  3];
y   = [10.5;    11.3;     12.6;     13.4;     17.1   ];
wgt = [0.4039;   0.5012;   0.4039;   0.5012;   0.3862];

[n,m] = size(x);

% Calculate beta
[beta] = betcal(wgt);

% Control Parameters
psip0 = 1;
indw = int64(1);
isigma = int64(1);

% Intial values
sigma = 1;
theta = zeros(m,1);

% Perform bounded influence regression
[x, y, wgt, theta, k, sigma, rs, nit, ifail] = ...
  g02hd( ...
         @chi, @psi, psip0, beta, indw, isigma, x, y, wgt, theta, sigma);

fprintf(' iterations to convergence = %4d\n', nit);
fprintf('                         k = %4d\n',k);
fprintf('                     sigma = %9.4f\n',sigma);
fprintf('Theta:\n');
disp(theta');
fprintf('\n  Weights  Residuals\n');
fprintf('%9.4f%9.4f\n', [wgt rs]');



function [result] = chi(t)
  global dchi

  if (abs(t) < dchi)
    ps=t;
  else
    ps=dchi;
  end
  result = ps*ps/2;


function [result] = psi(t)
  global dchi

  if t < -dchi
    result = -dchi;
  elseif abs(t) < dchi
    result = t;
  else
    result = dchi;
  end;

function [beta] = betcal(wgt)
  %  Calculate beta for Schweppe type regression
  global dchi

  n = numel(wgt);
  amaxex = -log(x02ak);
  anormc = sqrt(2*pi);
  d2 = dchi*dchi;
  beta = 0;
  for i = 1:n
    w2 = wgt(i)*wgt(i);
    dw = wgt(i)*dchi;
    [pc, ifail] = s15ab(dw);
    dw2 = dw*dw;
    if dw2<amaxex
      dc = exp(-dw2/2)/anormc;
    else
      dc = 0;
    end
    b = (-dw*dc+pc-0.5)/w2 + (1-pc)*d2;
    beta = b*w2/n + beta;
  end
g02hd example results

 iterations to convergence =    5
                         k =    3
                     sigma =    2.7783
Theta:
   12.2321    1.0500    1.2464


  Weights  Residuals
   0.4039   0.5643
   0.5012  -1.1286
   0.4039   0.5643
   0.5012  -1.1286
   0.3862   1.1286

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